<br><br><div class="gmail_quote">On Tue, Mar 30, 2010 at 8:47 AM, John-Thomas Richards <span dir="ltr"><<a href="mailto:jtr@jrichards.org">jtr@jrichards.org</a>></span> wrote:<br><blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0 0 0 .8ex;border-left:1px #ccc solid;padding-left:1ex;">
<div class="im"> <br> </div>
<br>
<br>
Real world usage of bandwidth determines whether more bandwidth is<br>
needed.<br></blockquote><div><br></div><div>Right, but bandwidth and "need" </div><div>are inter related. And bandwidth</div><div>and need are often out of balance.</div><div><br></div><div>Meaning that for a while there might</div>
<div>be more bandwidth available that there</div><div>are applications for, but then new ones</div><div>are developed. Same for PC hardware.</div><div>High definition screens, big e-mail </div><div>payloads, downloading movies, OSes,</div>
<div>games, etc. I used the phrases chicken</div><div>and egg, and in the end it still a matter</div><div>of who starts. The track record suggests</div><div>that if there is a surplus of capacity of</div><div>some kind - drive space, bandwidth,</div>
<div>PC speed, memory - uses will be found.</div><div><br></div><div>Of course competition is the miracle in</div><div>all this, and with just AT&T and Comcast</div><div>defining the game in this area, bandwidth,</div>
<div>and even usage, limits come in to play.</div><div>But those are artificial constraints.</div><div> </div><blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0 0 0 .8ex;border-left:1px #ccc solid;padding-left:1ex;">
<div class="im"><br>
> Anyway, rah-rah. But I would bet that capacities and speeds with<br>
> continue to increase, and costs will continue to come down. "Moore's<br>
<br>
</div> </blockquote><div> </div><blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0 0 0 .8ex;border-left:1px #ccc solid;padding-left:1ex;">If one remembers, or reads about,<br></blockquote><div>the early days of PC - say 1982 or so -</div>
<div>the same discussions of "what are you</div><div>going to do with it" raged. A $3,000</div><div>PC - in the dollars of 1982 - a very</div><div>basic DOS system, a primitive ASCII</div><div>terminal, and floppies. Hard drives were</div>
<div>also about $3,000, for 5 or 10 MB.</div><div><br></div><div>Suggestions like "keep your recipes </div><div>on it" just didn't hack it. But it was a</div><div>fascinating next 10 years. Xerox Parc</div>
<div>comes along with windows, mice, and</div><div>"objects." Steve Jobs adopts them all,</div><div>and so does M$.</div><div><br></div><div>Anyway, I could agree that the percentage</div><div>improvements are typically smaller today,</div>
<div>but look where we are. I simply find it hard</div><div>to believe that the ride is over. A</div><div>temporary pause maybe, while those with</div><div>the big imaginations find the next big</div><div>things to do, but I'd wager it's not over yet.</div>
<div><br></div><div> -- Bob</div><div><br></div><div> </div><blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0 0 0 .8ex;border-left:1px #ccc solid;padding-left:1ex;">
<font color="#888888">--<br>
john-thomas<br>
------<br>
I have studied it often, but I never could discover the plot.<br>
Mark Twain, author and humorist, on dictionary (1835-1910)<br>
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